Nakano Note (Nakano wa Kangaeru noda) NK 2967 P/2014 MG4 (Spacewatch-PANSTARRS)

The following improved orbital elements, by S. Nakano, are from 100 observations 2014 June 20 to Nov. 23. Perturbations by Mercury to Neptune and three minor planets, Ceres, Pallas and Vesta, were taken into account. The mean residual is +/- 0.61 arc second. See the previous orbit in NK 2800. Epoch = 2013 May 28.0 TT T = 2013 June 13.62091 +/- 0.03238 (m.e.) TT Peri. = 298.87938 +/- 0.00802 Node = 311.86137 +/- 0.00007 (2000.0) Inc. = 9.36740 +/- 0.00024 q = 3.7147391 +/- 0.0001779 AU e = 0.2587389 +/- 0.0000576 a = 5.0113776 +/- 0.0000912 AU n' = 0.08785538 +/- 0.00000240 P = 11.219 +/- 0.0003064 years (+/- 0.11 day) The predicted orbit for the 2024 return is as follows: T = 2024 Sept. 6.38514 TT Epoch = 2024 Sept. 7.0 TT Peri. = 298.95609 e = 0.2586012 Node = 311.69290 (2000.0) a = 5.0137724 AU Inc. = 9.36491 n'= 0.08779245 q = 3.7172049 AU P = 11.227 years The following residuals in seconds of arc are from the above orbital elements: Date Code Residual(") Date Code Residual(") Date Code Residual(") 2014/ 140727 W96 0.5- 0.4+ 140816 474 0.0 0.1+ 140620 691 0.2+ 0.2+ 140727 H06 0.5- 1.1+ 140818 585 0.3- 0.1+ 140620 691 0.1- 0.6+ 140727 H06 0.8- 0.7+ 140818 585 0.3- 0.1+ 140620 691 0.1+ 0.8+ 140727 Q62 1.6- 0.1+ 140818 585 0.4- 0.5+ 140620 691 0.1- 0.8+ 140727 Q62 0.1- 1.0+ 140818 585 0.1- 0.0 140620 691 0.0 0.8+ 140727 Q62 0.1- 0.6+ 140818 585 0.7- 0.7+ 140620 691 0.2- 0.8+ 140727 Q62 0.1+ 0.3- 140818 585 0.6- 1.0+ 140621 691 0.6- 0.9+ 140727 104 0.3- 0.4+ 140818 585 0.5- 1.3+ 140621 691 0.2- 0.8+ 140727 104 0.3- 0.4+ 140827 F51 0.1- 0.2- 140621 691 0.5+ 0.3+ 140727 104 0.3- 0.4+ 140827 F51 0.1- 0.2- 140621 691 0.6- 1.0+ 140728 W96 0.7- 0.4+ 140827 F51 0.0 0.3- 140621 691 1.0- 0.7+ 140728 W96 0.6- 0.1+ 140827 F51 0.0 0.3- 140621 691 0.4- 0.6+ 140728 J01 0.4- 0.9+ 140914 E07 0.4- 0.8+ 140725 F51 0.3+ 0.1- 140728 J01 0.4- 0.3+ 140914 E07 0.0 0.5+ 140725 F51 0.3+ 0.1- 140729 J01 0.5- 0.2+ 140915 215 (3.2- 1.4-) 140726 G45 0.5- 0.8+ 140730 F51 0.1+ 0.2- 140915 215 (3.0- 1.6-) 140726 G45 1.1- 1.1+ 140730 F51 0.1+ 0.2- 140915 215 (2.7- 1.6-) 140726 G45 1.2- 0.5+ 140730 F51 0.1+ 0.2- 140928 A77 1.1- 0.7+ 140726 G45 1.2- 0.4+ 140730 F51 0.1+ 0.3- 140928 A77 0.4- 0.7+ 140726 G45 0.5- 0.7+ 140730 C77 1.0- 0.6+ 141002 585 0.8+ 0.1+ 140726 G45 0.3- 0.8+ 140730 C77 0.4- 0.4+ 141002 585 1.6+ 1.3+ 140726 568 0.1+ 0.4- 140730 C77 0.0 0.3+ 141018 585 0.6+ 0.8+ 140726 568 0.4+ 0.4- 140731 K25 0.5- 0.6+ 141018 585 0.7+ 1.3+ 140726 568 0.5+ 0.3- 140731 K25 1.1- 0.8+ 141018 585 0.8+ 1.3+ 140726 300 0.4- 1.4+ 140803 F51 0.1+ 0.1- 141018 215 0.2- 0.8+ 140726 300 0.2- 0.6+ 140803 F51 0.1+ 0.1- 141018 585 0.3+ 1.8+ 140726 300 0.2- 1.0+ 140803 F51 0.1+ 0.1- 141018 215 0.3- 0.7+ 140726 300 0.0 1.3+ 140803 F51 0.4+ 0.4- 141018 215 0.2- 0.3+ 140726 194 0.0 0.1+ 140804 K25 0.6- 0.6+ 141120 G96 0.8- 0.5+ 140726 194 0.2- 0.2+ 140804 K25 0.8- 0.9+ 141120 G96 0.7- 0.2+ 140726 194 0.0 0.2+ 140805 F51 0.0 0.0 141120 G96 0.7- 0.9- 140726 958 0.6- 0.0 140805 F51 0.0 0.1+ 141120 G96 0.5- 0.8+ 140726 958 0.6- 0.1+ 140805 F51 0.0 0.0 141123 D95 0.4+ 0.8- 140727 958 0.7- 0.4+ 140816 474 0.1- 0.1+ 141123 D95 0.6+ 1.2- 140727 W96 1.7- 0.4- 140816 474 0.2- 0.2+ ( ) -------- Rejected Obs.

Associate of the CBAT Syuichi Nakano 2015 July 29

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