◎P/1998 X1 = 2006 B7 (ODAS)の連結軌道



 2005年の観測が報告され,氷の昇華による非重力効果の係数が信頼できるほど

十分小さくなったので,新しい連結軌道を計算しました.



198P/ODAS (1998 X1 = 2006 B7);  [Temporary numbered]

Epoch 2005 Apr. 20.0 TT = JDT 2453480.5  

T 2005 May 3.25918 TT                                   Nakano

q   1.9808484            (2000.0)            P               Q

n   0.14529644     Peri.   69.05231     +0.37817858     -0.92573251

a   3.5834339      Node   358.72643     +0.84036201     +0.34354004

e   0.4472206      Incl.    1.34839     +0.38829455     +0.15811246

P   6.78 (+/- 0.04 day)

From 186 observations 1998-2006, mean residual 0".60.

   Nongravitational parameters A1 = -2.41 +/- 0.35, A2 = +1.0205 +/- 0.3479, 

   A3 = -2.29 +/- 0.04.

   Orbit will be changed to q= 3.357 AU, e= 0.231, Peri.= 189.5, Node= 240.5,

   i= 8.8 since the comet will pass 0.15 AU from Jupiter on 2042 Sept. 24

Residuals in seconds of arc 

1998/                     981221 360  0.5+  0.2+    990213 691  0.5+  0.7+  

981215 910  0.3+  0.4-    981221 360  0.1-  0.5+    990214 693  0.1+  0.2-  

981215 910  0.1-  0.8-    981222 958  0.6+  0.9+    990214 693  0.2+  0.3-  

981215 910  0.5+  0.8-    981222 958  0.8-  0.5+    990214 693  0.1+  0.3-  

981216 046  0.5-  0.3+    981222 958  0.4+  0.1+    990214 360  0.2+  0.5-  

981216 046  0.7-  0.6-    981224 360  0.2-  0.1+    990214 360  0.3+  0.3-  

981216 046  0.5+  1.0-    981224 360  0.5-  0.6+    990214 360  0.1+  0.7-  

981216 557  0.5-  0.5-    981224 360  0.4+  0.1+    990215 118  0.2+  0.3-  

981216 910  0.5+  0.2-    981226 910  0.1-  0.3-    990215 118  0.2-  0.2+  

981216 046  0.5-  1.2-    981227 958 (0.1-  4.0+)   990216 691  0.8-  0.5-  

981216 046  1.0-  1.4-    981227 958  1.9-  0.6+    990216 691  0.2-  0.0   

981216 910  0.2+  0.1-    981227 402  0.3+  0.0     990216 691  1.2-  0.2-  

981216 910  0.0   0.4-    981227 402  0.1+  0.4-    990216 615  0.4+  0.5+  

981216 910  0.1-  0.5-    981227 402  0.6+  0.1+    990216 615  0.8+  0.3-  

981216 910  0.4-  1.1-    1999/                     990216 615  0.1-  0.1+  

981216 586  0.7+  0.3+    990107 897  1.6-  1.7+    990216 615  0.3+  0.2+  

981216 910  0.1-  0.6-    990107 897  0.2+  1.4+    990216 615  0.1-  0.1+  

981216 586  0.6+  0.5+    990107 897  0.4-  1.6+    990216 615  0.2-  0.1-  

981216 586  0.6+  0.3+    990110 372  0.4-  1.3+    990216 615  0.4-  0.1+  

981216 586  0.8+  0.5+    990113 693  0.6-  0.0     990216 615  0.8-  0.7+  

981216 586  0.6+  0.3+    990113 693  0.6-  0.0     990216 615  0.2+  0.1+  

981216 586  0.4+  0.3+    990113 693  0.4-  0.1-    990216 615  0.1+  0.5+  

981216 586  0.3+  0.5+    990114 910  0.9+  0.0     990216 615  0.1-  0.5+  

981216 586  0.4+  0.5+    990114 910  1.0+  0.5-    990216 615  0.7-  0.3+  

981216 586  0.8+  0.5+    990114 910  0.4-  0.9-    990216 615  0.2-  0.2+  

981216 586  0.7+  0.4+    990115 910  0.1+  0.9-    990216 615  0.2-  0.1+  

981216 586  0.5+  0.5+    990115 910  0.7+  0.7-    990216 615  0.2+  0.5+  

981216 586  0.6+  0.6+    990115 910  0.8+  1.3-    990223 897 (1.2+  2.6+) 

981216 586  0.6+  0.6+    990115 910  0.0   1.5-    990223 897 (3.2+  0.1-) 

981216 611  0.2+  0.7-    990115 910  0.2+  1.3-    990223 897  0.5+  0.9-  

981217 611 (2.6-  0.8-)   990115 910  0.2-  0.5-    990316 402  0.3-  0.2+  

981217 586  0.6-  0.2+    990115 910  0.1-  1.1-    990316 402 (0.5-  2.5-) 

981217 586  0.1+  0.3+    990119 910  0.2+  0.4+    990316 402  1.9-  1.3-  

981217 046  0.9-  0.3-    990119 910  0.4+  0.2+    990404 402  2.0-  0.2-  

981217 586  0.1-  0.0     990119 910  0.5+  0.0     990404 402  0.3-  0.5-  

981217 046  0.8-  0.3+    990119 910  0.4-  0.0     990414 693 (2.5-  1.0-) 

981217 046  0.3+  0.0     990119 910  0.1+  0.2+    990414 693 (5.4-  0.3+) 

981217 586  0.0   0.2+    990119 910  0.0   0.2+    2005/                   

981217 046  0.2+  0.0     990119 910  0.0   0.1+    051007 G96  1.6-  1.9-  

981217 046  0.7+  0.1-    990119 910  0.2+  0.2+    051007 G96  0.7-  1.4-  

981217 586  0.5-  0.2+    990119 910  0.2+  0.0     051007 G96  0.9-  0.9-  

981217 586  0.2-  0.3+    990119 910  0.0   0.6+    051007 G96  0.9+  1.7-  

981217 586  0.5-  0.4+    990121 360  0.7+  0.6-    2006/                   

981217 586  0.3-  0.3+    990121 360  0.5+  0.2-    060130 691  0.1-  0.0   

981217 586  0.5-  0.4+    990121 360  0.2+  0.3-    060130 691  0.4-  0.3-  

981217 586  0.6-  0.2+    990126 402 (2.3+  0.8+)   060130 691  0.4-  0.4-  

981217 586  0.1-  0.4+    990126 360  0.4+  0.1+    060207 691  0.4-  0.2+  

981217 586  0.0   0.2+    990126 360  0.2-  0.3-    060207 691  0.3-  0.0   

981218 511  0.1+  0.6+    990126 360  0.5+  0.2-    060207 691  0.0   0.1+  

981218 511  0.0   0.5+    990205 897  0.7+  0.0     060220 691  0.3+  0.0   

981218 511  0.1-  0.3+    990205 897  0.5-  1.1-    060220 691  0.0   0.0   

981218 511  0.1-  0.4+    990206 402  0.3+  0.7-    060220 691  0.0   0.3+  

981218 511  0.2-  0.5+    990206 402  0.8+  0.3-    060224 691  0.3+  0.4+  

981218 511  0.1+  0.5+    990206 402  1.3+  0.5+    060224 691  0.3+  0.2+  

981218 511  0.1-  0.5+    990208 402  1.4+  0.7-    060224 691  0.7+  0.9-  

981218 511  0.1-  0.7+    990208 402  1.5+  0.3-    060302 691  0.2-  0.1+  

981218 511  0.1-  0.6-    990208 402  1.3+  0.6-    060302 691  0.6+  0.5+  

981218 402  0.8-  0.5+    990212 699  0.6-  0.9+    060302 691  0.4+  0.4+  

981218 402  0.6-  0.3+    990212 699  0.3-  0.1+    060323 G96  1.0-  0.3+  

981218 402  0.3+  0.2+    990212 699  0.1-  0.0     060323 G96  0.6+  0.2+  

981218 402  0.5-  0.6+    990213 691  0.5-  0.1-    060323 G96  1.0-  0.4+  

981219 897  0.8-  1.6-    990213 691  0.6-  0.2-    060323 G96  0.5+  0.4+  

981219 897 (3.2-  1.7-)   990213 691  0.1+  0.1+    060324 G96  0.1+  0.1+  

981219 372 (1.0+  2.2+)   990213 691  0.2-  0.2-    060324 G96  1.3+  0.0   

981219 372  0.7+  1.8+    990213 691  0.7-  0.5+    060324 G96  0.4-  0.1+  

981220 897 (3.7-  0.2-)   990213 691  0.5-  0.5-    060324 G96  0.1+  0.4+  

981221 372 (2.5+  0.5+)   990213 691  0.8-  0.8+                            

981221 360  0.8+  0.8+    990213 691  0.3-  0.2-                            

NAKANO

         **** Don't distribute anyone except personal use only ****

                (C) Copyright 2008 OAA/ComputingSection

write mail from CFAD0::NAKANO on 2008-04-03 03:00:20(JST).

 

◎P/1998 X1 = 2006 B7 (ODAS)の軌道



 IAUC 8929とIAUC 8930にあるとおり,1998年出現のこの彗星が2006年に行なわ

れていたキットピークとレモン山の観測中に見つけられました.IAUCに紹介され

ているとおり,重力のみによる2回の出現の連結軌道では,約5"の残差のずれが

生じます.従来よりの非重力効果(氷の気化)でA3項まで加えるとそのずれは

消えますが,係数がA1 = +15.81, A2 = -0.3861 and A3 = -2.07と大きいもので

す.非重力効果がCOの気化によるものとすると,その係数は,Y1 = +3.87, Y2 =

+0.1036, Y3 = -1.72まで小さくできます.ただし,これは,COの気化は,その軌

道の全周で起きていますから,当然の結果です.



Following observations were included:

     12C103   C1999 02 12.18392 09 31 58.68 +16 02 51.9          17.8 Rc     699

     12C103   C1999 02 12.20944 09 31 57.33 +16 02 56.7                c     699

     12C103   C1999 02 12.23499 09 31 55.97 +16 03 02.2                c     699



 198P/1998 X1 = 2006 B7 (ODAS)    [Temporary numbered]

Epoch 2005 Apr. 20.0 TT = JDT 2453480.5  

T 2005 May  3.11104 TT                                  Nakano

q   1.9812179            (2000.0)            P               Q

n   0.14537172     Peri.   68.95751     +0.37827623     -0.92569264

a   3.5821968      Node   358.81521     +0.84033161     +0.34361455

e   0.4469265      Incl.    1.34834     +0.38826521     +0.15818401

P   6.78 (+/- 0.03 day)

From 183 observations 1998-2006, mean residual 0".56.

   Nongravitational parameters Y1 = +3.87 +/- 0.65, Y2 = +0.1036 +/- 0.0418,

   Y3 = -1.72 +/- 0.03.  Sublimating molecule = CO (or N2) using Yabushita's

   theory (MN 283, 347).

   Water-Ice vaporization gives A1 = +15.81, A2 = -0.3861 and A3 = -2.07.

   Orbit will be changed to q= 3.341 AU, e= 0.232, Peri.= 189.3, Node= 240.7,

   Inc.= 8.7 since the approach to Jupiter (0.15 AU) on 2042 Sept..



NAKANO

         **** Don't distribute anyone except personal use only ****

                (C) Copyright 2008 OAA/ComputingSection

write mail from CFAD0::NAKANO on 2008-04-02 02:34:22(JST).

 

    P/1998 X1 (ODAS) 

Epoch 2005 Apr. 20.0 TT = JDT 2453480.5  

T 2005 May 2.52901 TT                                   Nakano

q   1.9810287            (2000.0)            P               Q

n   0.14535234     Peri.   69.02995     +0.37817745     -0.92573298

a   3.5825151      Node   358.74886     +0.84035621     +0.34353250

e   0.4470285      Incl.    1.34951     +0.38830820     +0.15812611

P   6.78 (+/- 0.05 day)

From 157 observations 1998 Dec. 15-1999 Apr. 14, mean residual 0".58.



NAKANO

         **** Don't distribute anyone except personal use only ****

                (C) Copyright 2002 OAA/ComputingSection

write mail from CFAD0::NAKANO on 2002-05-10 00:07:37(JST).





    P/1998 X1 (ODAS) 

Epoch 1998 July 6.0 TT = JDT 2451000.5  

T 1998 July 20.93373 TT                                 Nakano

q   1.9744650            (2000.0)            P               Q

n   0.14570785     Peri.   68.79911     +0.38045093     -0.92480098

a   3.5766855      Node   358.83895     +0.83949722     +0.34557488

e   0.4479624      Incl.    1.35214     +0.38794523     +0.15912618

P   6.76

From 154 observations 1998 Dec. 15-1999 Apr. 14, mean residual 0".57.



NAKANO

         **** Don't distribute anyone except personal use only ****

                (C) Copyright 1999 OAA/ComputingSection

write mail from CFAD0::NAKANO on 1999-09-28 01:08:24(JST).

 



    P/1998 X1 (ODAS) 

Epoch 1998 Aug. 15.0 TT = JDT 2451040.5  

T 1998 July 20.93621 TT                                 Nakano

q   1.9745024            (2000.0)            P               Q

n   0.14571734     Peri.   68.80160     +0.38039770     -0.92482288

a   3.5765301      Node   358.83976     +0.83951727     +0.34552648

e   0.4479279      Incl.    1.35212     +0.38795404     +0.15910404

P   6.76

From 146 observations 1998 Dec. 15-1999 Mar. 16, mean residual 0".52.



    P/1998 X1 (ODAS) 

T 1998 July 20.90590 TT                                 Nakano

q   1.9750237            (2000.0)            P               Q

n   0.14575595     Peri.   68.82371     +0.38014971     -0.92492485

a   3.5758985      Node   358.83301     +0.83960754     +0.34530170

e   0.4476846      Incl.    1.35240     +0.38800177     +0.15899927

P   6.76

From 130 observations 1998 Dec. 15-1999 Feb. 16.





    P/1998 X1 (ODAS) 

T 1998 July 20.85716 TT                                 Nakano

q   1.9752955            (2000.0)            P               Q

n   0.14594537     Peri.   68.83402     +0.38017029     -0.92491638

a   3.5728038      Node   358.82142     +0.83959774     +0.34532171

e   0.4471302      Incl.    1.35261     +0.38800281     +0.15900503

P   6.75

From 100 observations 1998 Dec. 15-1999 Jan. 26.



◎C/1998 X1の軌道と予報位置です



 この彗星もまた,予想されたとおり,短周期彗星の1つでした.



    C/1998 X1 (ODAS) 

T 1998 July 20.74958 TT                                 Nakano

q   1.9759603            (2000.0)            P               Q

n   0.14627159     Peri.   68.85253     +0.38017320     -0.92491518

a   3.5674897      Node   358.80272     +0.83959263     +0.34532627

e   0.4461203      Incl.    1.35303     +0.38801103     +0.15900213

P   6.74

From 97 observations 1998 Dec. 15-1999 Jan. 21.



 

Date/        TT  R.A.(2000) Decl.     Delta   r     Daily motion  Mag.  Moon Age

              h    h  m       。  ,                      ,  / PA 。  m1      。

1999 Jan. 25 14  09 47.18  +14 55.7   1.510  2.462    12.3 / 288  18.3   99  .59

          26 14  09 46.38  +14 59.5   1.510  2.466    12.5 / 288  18.3   84  .70

          27 14  09 45.56  +15 03.3   1.510  2.471    12.6 / 288  18.3   70  .80

          28 14  09 44.73  +15 07.2   1.511  2.475    12.8 / 288  18.3   55  .88

          29 14  09 43.89  +15 11.0   1.512  2.479    12.9 / 288  18.3   41  .95

          30 14  09 43.04  +15 14.9   1.513  2.483    13.0 / 287  18.3   27  .99

          31 14  09 42.18  +15 18.8   1.515  2.488    13.1 / 287  18.4   13 1.00

     Feb.  1 14  09 41.31  +15 22.7   1.516  2.492    13.2 / 287  18.4    2  .99

           2 14  09 40.44  +15 26.6   1.518  2.496    13.3 / 287  18.4   14  .96

           3 14  09 39.56  +15 30.5   1.521  2.501    13.3 / 287  18.4   28  .91

           4 14  09 38.68  +15 34.4   1.523  2.505    13.4 / 287  18.4   40  .84

           5 14  09 37.79  +15 38.2   1.526  2.509    13.4 / 287  18.4   53  .76

           6 14  09 36.90  +15 42.1   1.529  2.513    13.4 / 287  18.4   65  .68

           7 14  09 36.02  +15 45.9   1.532  2.518    13.3 / 286  18.4   77  .59

           8 14  09 35.13  +15 49.7   1.536  2.522    13.3 / 286  18.4   89  .49

           9 14  09 34.25  +15 53.4   1.540  2.526    13.2 / 286  18.5  101  .40

          10 14  09 33.37  +15 57.1   1.544  2.531    13.1 / 286  18.5  113  .31

          11 14  09 32.49  +16 00.8   1.549  2.535    13.0 / 286  18.5  126  .22

          12 14  09 31.62  +16 04.3   1.554  2.540    12.9 / 286  18.5  138  .15

          13 14  09 30.76  +16 07.9   1.559  2.544    12.8 / 286  18.5  151  .08

          14 14  09 29.90  +16 11.3   1.564  2.548    12.6 / 286  18.5  164  .03

          15 14  09 29.06  +16 14.7   1.570  2.553    12.5 / 285  18.5  178  .01

          16 14  09 28.22  +16 18.0   1.575  2.557    12.3 / 285  18.6  168  .00

          17 14  09 27.40  +16 21.3   1.582  2.561    12.1 / 285  18.6  154  .02

          18 14  09 26.59  +16 24.4   1.588  2.566    11.9 / 285  18.6  139  .07

          19 14  09 25.79  +16 27.5   1.595  2.570    11.6 / 285  18.6  125  .14

          20 14  09 25.01  +16 30.5   1.602  2.575    11.4 / 285  18.6  111  .22

          21 14  09 24.24  +16 33.3   1.609  2.579    11.1 / 285  18.6   96  .33

          22 14  09 23.49  +16 36.1   1.617  2.583    10.9 / 284  18.7   82  .44

          23 14  09 22.75  +16 38.8   1.624  2.588    10.6 / 284  18.7   67  .55

          24 14  09 22.04  +16 41.4   1.632  2.592    10.3 / 284  18.7   53  .66

          25 14  09 21.34  +16 43.9   1.641  2.597    10.0 / 284  18.7   39  .76

          26 14  09 20.67  +16 46.3   1.649  2.601     9.7 / 284  18.7   25  .85

          27 14  09 20.01  +16 48.5   1.658  2.605     9.4 / 283  18.8   12  .92

          28 14  09 19.37  +16 50.7   1.667  2.610     9.1 / 283  18.8    2  .97

     Mar.  1 14  09 18.76  +16 52.8   1.677  2.614     8.7 / 283  18.8   15  .99

NAKANO

         **** Don't distribute anyone except personal use only ****

                (C) Copyright 1999 OAA/ComputingSection

write mail from CFAD0::NAKANO on 1999-01-25 20:16:46(JST).



    C/1998 X1 (ODAS) 

T 1998 July 18.59629 TT                                 Nakano

q   1.9853743            (2000.0)            P               Q

n   0.15370276     Peri.   68.98946     +0.38292000     -0.92378130

a   3.4515561      Node   358.49544     +0.83850634     +0.34785498

e   0.4247886      Incl.    1.35847     +0.38765886     +0.16007820

P   6.41

From 70 observations 1998 Dec. 15-27.



戻ります。