Nakano Note (Nakano wa Kangaeru noda) NK 4895 P/2022 R5 (PANSTARRS)

The following improved orbital elements, by S. Nakano, are from 42 observations 2022 Sept. 8 to Nov. 24. Perturbations by Mercury to Neptune and three minor planets, Ceres, Pallas and Vesta, were taken into account. The mean residual is +/- 0.53 arc second. See an orbit in CBET 5175. Epoch = 2022 May 21.0 TT T = 2022 May 28.29438 +/- 0.01994 (m.e.) TT Peri. = 240.77478 +/- 0.00729 Node = 115.09523 +/- 0.00087 (2000.0) Inc. = 15.29401 +/- 0.00010 q = 2.4699937 +/- 0.0000536 AU e = 0.1960141 +/- 0.0000278 a = 3.0721852 +/- 0.0001255 AU n' = 0.18303451 +/- 0.00001121 P = 5.385 +/- 0.0003299 years (+/- 0.12 day) The predicted orbit for the 2027 return is as follows: T = 2027 Oct. 11.55550 TT Epoch = 2027 Oct. 2.0 TT Peri. = 240.37327 e = 0.1943257 Node = 115.03707 (2000.0) a = 3.0716678 AU Inc. = 15.29121 n'= 0.18308076 q = 2.4747638 AU P = 5.383 years The following residuals in seconds of arc are from the above orbital elements: Date Code Residual(") Date Code Residual(") Date Code Residual(") 2022/ 221001 858 0.6- 0.0 221021 F51 0.2+ 0.3+ 220908 F52 0.1+ 0.1+ 221001 858 0.6- 0.0 221030 G96 0.7- 0.3+ 220908 F52 0.2- 0.0 221001 858 1.0- 0.2- 221030 G96 0.2- 0.1- 220908 F52 0.1- 0.1- 221002 A77 (2.4- 1.4-) 221030 G96 0.2- 0.3+ 220908 F52 0.3- 0.2- 221002 A77 (3.1- 0.6+) 221030 G96 1.3- 0.2+ 220922 568 0.3+ 0.1+ 221002 A77 0.9- 1.1- 221031 F51 0.4+ 0.0 220922 568 0.4+ 0.1+ 221004 F52 0.3- 0.1+ 221031 F51 0.3+ 0.1- 220922 568 0.4+ 0.1+ 221004 F52 0.1+ 0.0 221031 F51 0.4+ 0.2- 220922 568 0.4+ 0.0 221004 F52 0.3- 0.1+ 221031 F51 0.4+ 0.2- 220923 H06 1.8- 0.0 221004 F52 0.1+ 0.1+ 221123 F51 0.1- 0.1- 220923 H06 1.7- 0.4+ 221018 X03 (4.0- 0.2+) 221123 F51 0.1+ 0.1- 220923 F51 0.1+ 0.0 221018 X03 0.0 0.7- 221123 F51 0.2+ 0.3- 220923 F51 0.1+ 0.0 221018 X03 (0.2- 2.0-) 221124 215 (0.6- 2.2+) 220923 F51 0.1- 0.1- 221018 X03 1.8- 0.5- 221124 215 0.9- 1.9+ 220923 F51 0.1- 0.1- 221021 F51 0.0 0.2- 221124 215 (0.3- 2.3+) 220923 F51 0.2+ 0.0 221021 F51 0.4+ 0.0 220923 F51 0.2- 0.1+ 221021 F51 0.2+ 0.0 ( ) -------- Rejected Obs.

Associate of the CBAT Syuichi Nakano 2022 Dec. 14

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