Nakano Note (Nakano wa Kangaeru noda) NK 4897 P/2022 S1 (PANSTARRS)

The following improved orbital elements, by S. Nakano, are from 64 observations 2022 Sept. 14 to Nov. 24. Perturbations by Mercury to Neptune and three minor planets, Ceres, Pallas and Vesta, were taken into account. The mean residual is +/- 0.30 arc second. See an orbit in CBET 5176. Epoch = 2022 Aug. 9.0 TT T = 2022 Aug. 19.18241 +/- 0.04007 (m.e.) TT Peri. = 262.76024 +/- 0.00990 Node = 136.09113 +/- 0.00128 (2000.0) Inc. = 34.58186 +/- 0.00010 q = 3.1513855 +/- 0.0000451 AU e = 0.5083769 +/- 0.0000454 a = 6.4101654 +/- 0.0005989 AU n' = 0.06072957 +/- 0.00000851 P = 16.229 +/- 0.0022746 years (+/- 0.83 day) The predicted orbit for the 2038 return is as follows: T = 2038 Oct. 9.08350 TT Epoch = 2038 Oct. 24.0 TT Peri. = 262.86152 e = 0.5075162 Node = 136.04370 (2000.0) a = 6.3673850 AU Inc. = 34.60589 n'= 0.06134263 q = 3.1358337 AU P = 16.067 years The following residuals in seconds of arc are from the above orbital elements: Date Code Residual(") Date Code Residual(") Date Code Residual(") 2022/ 220930 W76 0.0 0.0 221015 F51 0.1- 0.2- 220914 F51 0.1+ 0.2+ 220930 W76 0.1- 0.1- 221023 F52 0.1+ 0.1- 220914 F51 0.0 0.1+ 220930 568 0.0 0.1- 221023 F52 0.1- 0.0 220923 F52 0.2+ 0.1+ 220930 568 0.0 0.0 221023 F52 0.0 0.0 220923 F52 0.1+ 0.0 220930 568 0.1- 0.1+ 221023 F52 0.0 0.1- 220923 F52 0.0 0.0 221001 A77 1.0- 0.8- 221103 F51 0.2+ 0.0 220924 807 0.5- 0.3+ 221001 A77 0.3- 0.4+ 221103 F51 0.2+ 0.0 220924 807 0.2- 0.2+ 221001 A77 0.5- 0.2- 221103 F51 0.1+ 0.1+ 220924 807 0.1- 0.2+ 221002 G96 0.3+ 0.4+ 221104 X03 0.4+ 0.1+ 220924 807 0.2- 0.2+ 221002 G96 0.0 0.3- 221104 X03 0.4- 0.3+ 220926 568 0.2+ 0.1- 221002 G96 0.3- 0.0 221104 X03 1.0- 0.2+ 220926 568 0.2+ 0.1- 221002 G96 0.1- 0.0 221116 F52 0.3+ 0.1+ 220926 568 0.2+ 0.1- 221003 G96 0.2- 0.1- 221116 F52 0.5+ 0.0 220929 F51 0.1+ 0.0 221003 G96 0.2- 0.0 221116 F52 0.3+ 0.1+ 220929 F51 0.1+ 0.0 221003 G96 0.5- 0.3+ 221116 F52 0.3+ 0.1- 220929 F51 0.1+ 0.0 221003 G96 0.4- 0.1+ 221119 W76 0.2+ 0.5+ 220929 F51 0.1+ 0.0 221007 X03 0.5- 0.0 221119 W76 0.0 0.6+ 220929 F51 0.1+ 0.0 221007 X03 0.5- 0.0 221119 W76 0.3- 0.7+ 220929 F51 0.1+ 0.2- 221007 X03 0.3- 0.2- 221124 G96 0.8- 1.3- 220929 F51 0.0 0.1+ 221015 F51 0.1- 0.1- 221124 G96 0.2- 0.2+ 220929 F51 0.1+ 0.0 221015 F51 0.0 0.1+ 221124 G96 0.1- 1.1+ 220930 W76 0.1+ 0.0 221015 F51 0.0 0.1- 221124 G96 (1.9- 2.3+) ( ) -------- Rejected Obs.

Associate of the CBAT Syuichi Nakano 2022 Dec. 14

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